NFL divisional round best bets: Picks for every game
It’s the NFL postseason, and ESPN betting analysts Doug Kezirian (0-2 last week, 21-33-2 overall), Joe Fortenbaugh (2-2, 35-58-1), Anita Marks (5-15, 112-115-2), Preston Johnson (1-0, 16-20), Mike Clay (5-6, 21-16) and Tyler Fulghum (4-6-1, 64-87-3), sports betting deputy editor David Bearman (0-2, 34-24), Seth Walder (0-0, 50-31) of ESPN analytics and Aaron Schatz (0-4, 42-49-2) of Football Outsiders are here to tell us what bets they like from this weekend’s divisional round slate.
Note: Lines courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook by William Hill and subject to change.
Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers (-6.5, 45.5), 4:35 p.m. ET
Schatz: The Packers are second overall in weighted DVOA while the Rams are eighth, and the Packers get the historical advantage of coming off the bye week. Green Bay was the No. 1 offense in the league this year. In particular, the Pack were the No. 1 offensive line in both pass-block win rate and run-block win rate, which is a bad matchup for Aaron Donald if he is at less than 100% because of his rib injury. Meanwhile, the Rams have put up offensive DVOA below average in five straight games and rank just 20th on offense since Week 10. And they will be going with a clearly injured Jared Goff at quarterback this week.
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